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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Dundee
T S S U T
2–2
Full-time
Hibernian
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 10. · Hibernian 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 3 2 0 1 +11 6
2 Hibernian 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Aberdeen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Hearts 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Motherwell 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 Rangers 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Dundee United 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 ST Johnstone 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Ross County 2 0 1 1 -3 1
10 Dundee 2 0 1 1 -6 1
11 St Mirren 3 0 1 2 -7 1
12 Livingston 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee Hibernian
1–0 J. Cummings
C. Adam
11′
36′
🟨 Paul McGinn
39′
M. Boyle 1–1
44′
🟨 Ryan Porteous
Half-time 1–1
Paul McMullan 🟨
49′
50′
🔁 L. Stevenson
↦ P. McGinn
Charlie Adam 🟨
51′
59′
R. Porteous 1–2
K. Magennis
Lee Ashcroft 🟨
65′
P. McGowan 🔁
↦ C. Adam
70′
D. McDaid 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
77′
Shaun Byrne 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Josh Doig
82′
🔁 D. Wright
↦ J. Murphy
Paul McGowan 🟨
83′
2–2 P. McGowan
P. McMullan
83′
R. Sweeney 🔁
↦ L. Fontaine
84′
84′
🔁 J. Gullan
↦ J. Scott
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dundee

4-3-3
1 A. Legzdins G
4 L. Fontaine D
16 C. Elliott D
14 L. Ashcroft D
6 J. McGhee D
26 C. Adam M
8 S. Byrne M
18 P. McMullan F
24 M. Anderson M
17 L. McCowan F
35 J. Cummings F
Bench (6)
10 P. McGowan
11 D. McDaid
5 R. Sweeney
21 I. Lawlor
19 F. Robertson
20 C. Panter

Coach: J. McPake

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 M. Macey G
24 D. McGregor D
6 P. McGinn D
5 R. Porteous D
3 J. Doig D
18 J. Murphy M
10 M. Boyle M
13 A. Gogić M
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
7 K. Magennis M
25 J. Scott F
Bench (7)
16 L. Stevenson
8 D. Wright
19 J. Gullan
21 M. Dąbrowski
32 J. Campbell
23 S. Allan
17 D. Mackay

Coach: J. Ross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,97
U ✓
3,64
B
1,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.