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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Twente
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Heracles
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
61%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 12. · Heracles 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 4 2 +72 79
2 PSV Eindhoven 31 19 8 4 +35 65
3 AZ Alkmaar 31 19 7 5 +28 64
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 29 15 8 6 +28 53
6 Utrecht 29 13 9 7 +11 48
7 Groningen 30 13 6 11 +0 45
8 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
9 Heracles 31 12 6 13 -6 42
10 For Sittard 31 12 4 15 -6 40
11 Heerenveen 31 9 11 11 -3 38
12 Twente 31 9 10 12 -2 37
13 Zwolle 31 8 11 12 -7 35
14 Waalwijk 31 6 8 17 -20 26
15 Willem II 31 6 7 18 -30 25
16 FC Emmen 31 5 9 17 -30 24
17 VVV Venlo 31 6 4 21 -42 22
18 Den Haag 31 3 10 18 -44 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Heracles
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 I. Azzaoui
↦ K. Jakobsen
Gijs Smal 🟨
52′
62′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ S. Bakış
70′
M. Knoester 0–1
R. Vloet
Jesse Bosch 🟨
73′
C. Staring 🔁
↦ W. Brama
74′
Q. Menig 🔁
↦ T. van Leeuwen
74′
L. Narsingh 🔁
↦ L. Ilić
74′
Queensy Menig ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
78′
79′
🟨 Delano Burgzorg
84′
🔁 M. Rente
↦ L. de la Torre
1–1 Danilo
L. Narsingh
85′
D. Rots 🔁
↦ Danilo
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
23 T. Ebuehi D
24 N. Markelo D
5 G. Smal D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
6 W. Brama M
8 L. Ilić M
32 J. Bosch F
19 R. Zerrouki M
37 T. van Leeuwen F
9 Danilo F
Bench (10)
40 C. Staring
11 Q. Menig
25 L. Narsingh
39 D. Rots
20 G. Roemeratoe
22 J. de Lange
35 M. Hilgers
38 M. Bruns
30 E. van der Gouw
43 D. Dumić

Coach: R. Jans

Heracles

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
4 R. Pröpper D
13 M. Knoester D
23 N. Fadiga D
3 G. Quagliata D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
14 L. de la Torre M
20 K. Jakobsen F
9 S. Bakış F
37 D. Burgzorg F
Bench (12)
18 I. Azzaoui
25 A. Kutucu
5 M. Rente
26 K. Bucker
16 M. Brouwer
22 M. Leš
17 A. Szőke
31 R. Agca
28 E. Sierra-Cappelleti
2 T. Breukers
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
34 J. Hardeveld

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U ✓
3,47
B
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.