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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Feyenoord
U S S U T
0–3
Full-time
Ajax
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 29/31 matches
Win Ø 67%
52%
81%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
55%
68%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Feyenoord 5. · Ajax 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 31 25 4 2 +72 79
2 AZ Alkmaar 32 20 7 5 +29 67
3 PSV Eindhoven 31 19 8 4 +35 65
4 Vitesse 32 18 6 8 +16 60
5 Feyenoord 29 15 8 6 +28 53
6 Utrecht 30 13 10 7 +11 49
7 Groningen 31 14 6 11 +4 48
8 Heracles 32 12 7 13 -6 43
9 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 +0 42
10 For Sittard 32 12 4 16 -7 40
11 Heerenveen 32 9 12 11 -3 39
12 Twente 32 9 11 12 -2 38
13 Zwolle 31 8 11 12 -7 35
14 Waalwijk 32 6 9 17 -20 27
15 Willem II 31 6 7 18 -30 25
16 FC Emmen 32 5 9 18 -34 24
17 VVV Venlo 32 6 5 21 -42 23
18 Den Haag 31 3 10 18 -44 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Ajax
Leroy Fer 🟨
14′
21′
M. Senesi 1–0
own goal
Tyrell Malacia 🟨
38′
44′
🟨 Edson Álvarez
45′
🟥 Edson Álvarez
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Schuurs
↦ N. Mazraoui
46′
🔁 M. Kudus
↦ S. Haller
Tyrell Malacia 🟨
60′
Tyrell Malacia 🟥
60′
R. Haps 🔁
↦ R. Boženík
62′
67′
R. Haps 2–0
own goal
72′
🔁 J. Ekkelenkamp
↦ R. Gravenberch
72′
🔁 S. Klaiber
↦ D. Rensch
N. Jørgensen 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
73′
76′
🔁 David Neres
↦ Antony
79′
🟨 Lisandro Martínez
L. Pratto 🔁
↦ B. Linssen
79′
79′
M. Kudus 2–1
D. Tadić
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
33 Eric Botteghin D
15 T. Malacia D
4 M. Senesi D
22 L. Geertruida D
8 L. Fer M
20 João Carlos Teixeira M
23 O. Kökçü M
11 B. Linssen F
17 L. Sinisterra F
19 R. Boženík F
Bench (8)
5 R. Haps
9 N. Jørgensen
24 L. Pratto
6 M. Diemers
43 A. El Bouchataoui
25 U. Spajić
30 R. ten Hove
21 N. Marsman

Coach: D. Advocaat

Ajax

4-2-3-1
1 M. Stekelenburg G
12 N. Mazraoui D
4 Edson Álvarez M
21 L. Martínez D
2 J. Timber D
15 D. Rensch D
6 D. Klaassen M
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić M
22 S. Haller F
39 Antony M
Bench (11)
3 P. Schuurs
20 M. Kudus
18 J. Ekkelenkamp
5 S. Klaiber
7 David Neres
16 K. Scherpen
51 D. Reiziger
23 L. Traoré
30 B. Brobbey
25 K. Taylor
9 O. Idrissi

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,93
U
4,63
B ✓
1,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.