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2. Bundesliga
Hamburg
T S S U T
2–2
Full-time
Darmstadt
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
4,3
Scored
2,8
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

19 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 1
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 9. · Darmstadt 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Regensburg 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Dresden 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Paderborn 4 2 2 0 +5 8
4 Karlsruhe 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 St Pauli 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Nurnberg 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Heidenheim 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Werder Bremen 4 1 2 1 -2 5
9 Hamburg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 1 2 -1 4
11 Hansa Rostock 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Schalke 04 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Hannover 4 1 1 2 -4 4
14 Darmstadt 3 1 0 2 +0 3
15 Erzgebirge Aue 3 0 3 0 +0 3
16 Sandhausen 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Holstein Kiel 4 0 1 3 -9 1
18 Ingolstadt 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U ✓
3,86
B
4,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.