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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Montpellier

S U S T U

3–1

Full-time

Lorient

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,5

1,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

3,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

32 Shots 5

11 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Montpellier 15. · Lorient 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Clermont	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Lens	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Nice	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	St Etienne	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Reims	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Rennes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Brest	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Lyon	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Lille	3	0	2	1	-4	2
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Metz	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Bordeaux	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Strasbourg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Lyon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	St Etienne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Brest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Lille	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Nice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lille	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.