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Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Tottenham
S T T S T
3–0
Full-time
Burnley
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,32 xG 0,94
67% Possession 33%
16 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. May -24 Tottenham – Burnley 2–1 5. Jan -24 Tottenham – Burnley 1–0 2. Sep -23 Burnley – Tottenham 2–5 15. May -22 Tottenham – Burnley 1–0 23. Feb -22 Burnley – Tottenham 1–0

Match report

Tottenham Burnley
1–0 Richarlison ⚽
M. Kudus
10′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Richarlison ⚽
M. Kudus
60′
63′
🔁 L. Ugochukwu
↦ J. Laurent
63′
🔁 J. Bruun Larsen
↦ H. Mejbri
3–0 B. Johnson ⚽
P. M. Sarr
66′
D. Solanke 🔁
↦ Richarlison
71′
R. Bentancur 🔁
↦ A. Gray
71′
74′
🔁 Z. Flemming
↦ L. Foster
74′
🔁 L. Tchaouna
↦ O. Sonne
J. Palhinha 🔁
↦ L. Bergvall
80′
W. Odobert 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
80′
M. Tel 🔁
↦ M. Kudus
85′
85′
🔁 M. Edwards
↦ J. Anthony
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 G. Vicario G
23 P. Porro D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
24 D. Spence D
29 P. M. Sarr M
14 A. Gray M
15 L. Bergvall M
20 M. Kudus F
9 Richarlison F
22 B. Johnson F
Bench (9)
31 A. Kinsky
6 J. Palhinha
11 M. Tel
33 B. Davies
19 D. Solanke
30 R. Bentancur
4 K. Danso
28 W. Odobert
16 L. Vuskovic

Coach: Roberto De Zerbi

Burnley

5-4-1
1 M. Dubravka G
22 O. Sonne D
2 K. Walker D
18 H. Ekdal D
5 M. Esteve D
3 Q. Hartman D
28 H. Mejbri M
29 J. Laurent M
24 J. Cullen M
11 J. Anthony M
9 L. Foster F
Bench (9)
13 M. Weiss
19 Z. Flemming
4 J. Worrall
21 A. Ramsey
17 L. Tchaouna
8 L. Ugochukwu
23 Lucas Pires
7 J. Bruun Larsen
10 M. Edwards

Coach: Mike Jackson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
🔒
U
4,80
🔒
B
8,30
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
U2,5
2,16
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.