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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Twente
T S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Vitesse
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 10. · Vitesse 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 6 6 0 0 +14 18
2 Ajax 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 1 1 +11 16
4 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Vitesse 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Excelsior 7 3 1 3 -1 10
9 Den Haag 7 3 1 3 -3 10
10 Twente 6 3 0 3 +1 9
11 Heracles 7 1 3 3 -3 6
12 Groningen 7 1 3 3 -4 6
13 Willem II 7 1 3 3 -6 6
14 Nijmegen 7 1 3 3 -7 6
15 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 2 4 -7 5
16 Roda 6 0 3 3 -6 3
17 Utrecht 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Zwolle 7 0 2 5 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Vitesse
1–0 E. Ünal
D. Trajkovski
16′
28′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ M. Rashica
Dejan Trajkovski 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Nathan
↦ A. Tighadouini
J. Oosterwijk 🔁
↦ E. Ünal
54′
59′
🟨 Marvelous Nakamba
64′
🔁 M. Miazga
↦ M. van der Werff
C. Ede 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
71′
2–0 B. Celina
C. Ede
85′
G. Katsikas 🔁
↦ Y. Yeboah
87′
92′
L. Baker 2–1
M. Miazga
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
6 D. Trajkovski D
25 P. Bijen D
28 J. van der Lely D
43 M. Klich M
19 F. Jensen M
23 J. van der Heyden M
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
14 Y. Yeboah F
Bench (8)
24 J. Oosterwijk
7 C. Ede
4 G. Katsikas
2 H. ter Avest
11 D. Seys
12 T. Hölscher
20 S. Stevens
13 N. Hengelman

Coach: R. Hake

Vitesse

4-3-3
1 E. Room G
6 A. Kruiswijk D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
5 K. Leerdam D
25 N. Foor M
10 A. Tighadouini F
34 L. Baker M
18 M. Nakamba M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
7 M. Rashica F
Bench (8)
16 M. van Bergen
11 Nathan
19 M. Miazga
8 K. Ota
9 Zhang Yuning
20 M. Osman
24 J. Houwen
29 J. Lelieveld

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.