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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Twente
S T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Vitesse
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
67%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
64%
45%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 8
6 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 12. · Vitesse 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 33 25 6 2 +60 81
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 25 6 2 +54 81
3 Feyenoord 33 18 6 9 +21 60
4 AZ Alkmaar 33 17 5 11 +15 56
5 Zwolle 31 14 6 11 +6 48
6 Heracles 30 13 8 9 +0 47
7 Groningen 32 13 8 11 -7 47
8 Nijmegen 33 13 7 13 -4 46
9 Vitesse 33 12 9 12 +17 45
10 Utrecht 29 12 7 10 +7 43
11 Den Haag 33 10 12 11 -1 42
12 Twente 33 12 6 15 -15 42
13 Heerenveen 33 11 8 14 -15 41
14 Roda 33 8 10 15 -20 34
15 Excelsior 33 6 9 18 -28 27
16 Willem II 33 5 11 17 -19 26
17 De Graafschap 33 5 7 21 -27 22
18 Cambuur 33 3 9 21 -44 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Dec -15 Vitesse – Twente 5–1

Match report

Twente Vitesse
3′
Bruno Uvini 1–0
own goal
2–0 Z. El Azzouzi
Jerson Cabral
27′
31′
🟨 Marvelous Nakamba
Half-time 2–0
J. van der Lely 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
57′
Bruno Uvini 🟨
58′
61′
Zhang Yuning 2–1
R. Ibarra
Jerson Cabral 🟨
62′
F. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ R. Schilder
64′
3–1 C. Ede
Jerson Cabral
66′
71′
🟨 Guram Kashia
78′
🔁 L. Baker
↦ M. van der Werff
T. Hölscher 🔁
↦ C. Ede
85′
87′
🔁 I. Brown
↦ V. Qazaishvili
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Twente

1 N. Marsman G
3 Bruno Uvini D
2 S. Thesker D
25 P. Bijen D
17 H. ter Avest D
7 C. Ede F
5 R. Schilder D
22 K. Mokotjo M
10 H. Ziyech M
26 Jerson Cabral F
18 Z. El Azzouzi F
Bench (7)
28 J. van der Lely
6 F. Gutiérrez
12 T. Hölscher
9 T. Børven
20 S. Stevens
23 J. van der Heyden
24 J. Oosterwijk

Vitesse

1 E. Room G
8 K. Ōta D
37 G. Kashia D
3 M. van der Werff D
17 K. Diks D
21 S. Yeini M
30 R. Ibarra M
26 M. Rashica F
18 M. Nakamba M
10 V. Qazaishvili M
43 Zhang Yuning F
Bench (7)
34 L. Baker
7 I. Brown
11 D. Oliynyk
22 P. Velthuizen
41 M. Osman
44 T. Oude Kotte
49 J. Lelieveld

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.