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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Ajax
S S S S U
5–0
Full-time
FC Emmen
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,8
2,0
Scored
3,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
32 Shots 5
12 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 10. · FC Emmen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sparta Rotterdam 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Twente 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Groningen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ajax 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Feyenoord 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 PSV Eindhoven 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Heracles 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajax FC Emmen
1–0 D. van de Beek
D. Tadić
27′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 H. Ziyech
D. van de Beek
47′
S. Dest 🔁
↦ N. Mazraoui
54′
Q. Promes 🔁
↦ David Neres
59′
3–0 D. Tadić
66′
67′
🔁 H. Bos
↦ J. Arias
K. Huntelaar 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
72′
4–0 K. Huntelaar
Q. Promes
80′
81′
🔁 D. Payne
↦ G. Bijl
5–0 K. Huntelaar
88′
90′
🟨 Nick Bakker
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
24 A. Onana G
17 D. Blind M
31 N. Tagliafico D
3 J. Veltman D
12 N. Mazraoui D
21 L. Martínez D
22 H. Ziyech F
18 R. Marin M
6 D. van de Beek M
10 D. Tadić F
7 David Neres F
Bench (10)
28 S. Dest
11 Q. Promes
9 K. Huntelaar
30 D. de Wit
4 E. Álvarez
16 L. Magallán
2 P. Schuurs
1 Bruno Varela
25 K. Dolberg
35 K. Scherpen

Coach: E. ten Hag

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
26 D. Telgenkamp G
28 L. Burnet D
4 N. Bakker D
3 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl D
8 M. de Leeuw M
20 M. Chacón M
21 F. Ugrinic M
9 M. Kolar M
11 N. Laursen M
25 J. Arias F
Bench (9)
30 H. Bos
22 D. Payne
93 S. van der Lei
32 R. de Vos
39 J. Beste
27 L. Sopić
10 S. Tarashaj
7 W. Marinus
16 R. Jalving

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,08
U
10,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,22
U2,5
4,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.