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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Willem II

T U S U T

3–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,56 xG 0,70

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

4 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 11. · Waalwijk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+17	+10.2	15
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
3	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.1	10
4	Groningen	5	2	3	0	+4	+0.5	9
5	Feyenoord	4	1	3	0	+4	+3.8	6
6	For Sittard	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.4	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.4	6
8	Nijmegen	5	2	0	3	+0	-3.2	6
9	Go Ahead Eagles	5	2	0	3	-4	+0.4	6
10	NAC Breda	5	2	0	3	-6	-3.2	6
11	Willem II	4	1	2	1	+1	-2.0	5
12	Twente	4	1	2	1	+0	+5.6	5
13	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+3	+1.5	4
14	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.5	4
15	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
16	Heracles	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.8	2
17	Almere City	4	0	1	3	-10	-5.6	1
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-10	-7.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.8	9
2	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.4	6
3	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.3	6
4	Groningen	3	1	2	0	+3	-0.0	5
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.5	4
6	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.0	3
7	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
9	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.5	3
11	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
12	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.0	3
13	Twente	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.9	2
14	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.5	2
15	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
16	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
17	Almere City	3	0	1	2	-7	-3.0	1
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	+4.0	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.4	6
3	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+4	+2.1	5
4	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
5	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
6	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
7	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.8	3
8	Nijmegen	3	1	0	2	+0	-3.1	3
9	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.1	3
11	Willem II	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
12	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-2	-4.5	1
13	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
14	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
15	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
16	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.8	0
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.