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Süper Lig

Referee: H Meler

Kasimpasa

S T U U S

0–2

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

25%

75%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,93 xG 1,53

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kasimpasa 10. · Fenerbahce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+11	+5.4	12
2	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	+5.7	10
3	Buyuksehyr	4	3	1	0	+6	+0.8	10
4	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.4	9
5	Eyüpspor	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.4	9
6	Konyaspor	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.6	7
7	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	-1	-4.6	7
8	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.4	6
9	Samsunspor	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.7	6
10	Kasimpasa	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.7	5
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.4	4
12	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-10	-2.7	4
13	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.4	3
14	Bodrumspor	5	1	0	4	-5	+0.4	3
15	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
16	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.8	2
17	Alanyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	+0.8	2
18	Hatayspor	4	0	1	3	-5	-6.3	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+6	+6.2	6
2	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
3	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.1	6
4	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
5	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
6	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
7	Antalyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
8	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
9	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
10	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
11	Kasimpasa	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
12	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
13	Konyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
14	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.4	1
15	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.2	1
16	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
17	Samsunspor	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.9	0
18	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.8	6
2	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
3	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
4	Eyüpspor	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.4	5
5	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+5	+2.6	4
6	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
7	Buyuksehyr	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
8	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
9	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.3	3
10	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.8	3
11	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.0	3
12	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
13	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
14	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
15	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
16	Hatayspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.9	0
17	Antalyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.7	0
18	Alanyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.6	0
19	Bodrumspor	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.