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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Rennes

U T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Montpellier

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,7

3,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,29 xG 0,33

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rennes 11. · Montpellier 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+13	+9.0	12
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+8	+1.8	10
3	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.5	10
4	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+4	-0.4	7
5	Lens	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.2	7
6	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.8	6
7	Lille	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.1	6
8	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.1	4
9	Nice	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.3	4
10	Reims	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.7	4
11	Rennes	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.2	3
12	Brest	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.1	3
13	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.0	3
14	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.2	3
15	St Etienne	4	1	0	3	-6	-5.7	3
16	Toulouse	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.1	2
17	Montpellier	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.2	1
18	Angers	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.1	6
2	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
3	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
4	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
5	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
6	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
8	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
9	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
10	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
11	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.5	3
12	Reims	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
13	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
14	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
15	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
16	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
17	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.4	1
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.9	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.9	6
3	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.2	6
4	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
5	Lens	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
6	Le Havre	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
7	Lille	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.0	3
8	Nice	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.0	3
9	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
11	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
12	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
13	Rennes	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
14	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
15	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
16	Brest	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.0	0
17	St Etienne	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.5	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-6	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.