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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Oviedo
T S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Cartagena
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
16 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 18. · Cartagena 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 5 3 2 0 +4 11
2 Santander 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Eibar 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Zaragoza 4 3 1 0 +8 10
5 Mirandes 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Huesca 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Malaga 5 2 3 0 +2 9
8 Burgos 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Eldense 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Albacete 5 2 0 3 -2 6
11 Sp Gijon 5 1 2 2 +0 5
12 Almeria 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Cordoba 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Cadiz 4 1 2 1 -2 5
15 Castellon 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Granada 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 La Coruna 5 1 1 3 -3 4
18 Oviedo 4 1 1 2 -3 4
19 Cartagena 4 1 0 3 -3 3
20 Elche 4 1 0 3 -3 3
21 Ferrol 4 0 2 2 -2 2
22 Tenerife 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Cartagena
28′
🟨 Andrija Vukčević
Half-time 0–0
Dani Calvo 🟨
57′
Sebas Moyano 🔁
↦ H. Hassan
65′
D. Paraschiv 🔁
↦ Alemão
65′
66′
🟨 Pablo Cuñat
Álvaro Lemos 🟨
69′
Ilyas Chaira 🟨
70′
Jaime Seoane 🔁
↦ K. Sibo
73′
Paulino de la Fuente 🔁
↦ I. Chaira
73′
73′
🔁 Andy Rodríguez
↦ Luis Muñoz
75′
🟨 Damián Musto
80′
🔁 L. Román
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
80′
🔁 Alfredo Ortuño
↦ Gastón Valles
1–0 S. Colombatto
Sebas Moyano
82′
85′
🔁 Dani Escriche
↦ Sergio Guerrero
86′
🔁 Hugo González
↦ Cedric Teguia
Carlos Dotor 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
2 Álvaro Lemos D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
3 R. Alhassane D
11 S. Colombatto M
6 K. Sibo M
23 H. Hassan M
8 Santi Cazorla M
16 I. Chaira M
9 Alemão F
Bench (12)
7 Sebas Moyano
14 D. Paraschiv
20 Jaime Seoane
18 Paulino de la Fuente
22 Carlos Dotor
4 David Costas
21 Carlos Pomares
17 Masca
5 Alberto del Moral
24 Lucas Ahijado
1 Q. Braat
27 Álex Cardero

Coach: Javier Calleja

Cartagena

4-3-3
1 Pablo Cuñat G
19 Martín Aguirregabiria D
2 Jorge Moreno D
24 N. Šipčić D
12 A. Vukčević D
6 Sergio Guerrero M
18 D. Musto M
8 Luis Muñoz M
20 Jairo Izquierdo F
7 Gastón Valles F
23 Cedric Teguia F
Bench (11)
17 Andy Rodríguez
37 L. Román
9 Alfredo Ortuño
10 Dani Escriche
34 Hugo González
40 Toni Fuidias
26 Ángel Andugar
30 Jhafets Christ
28 Jesús Hernández
27 Carmelo Sánchez
3 Ríos Reina

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,44
B
5,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.