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Ligue 1

Referee: P Gaillouste

Nantes

S S U S T

0–1

Full-time

Lille

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

43%

39%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

36%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

61%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nantes 8. · Lille 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	28	20	5	3	+35	65
2	Nice	28	15	6	7	+17	51
3	Marseille	28	14	8	6	+17	50
4	Rennes	28	15	4	9	+30	49
5	Strasbourg	28	13	8	7	+18	47
6	Lens	29	12	8	9	+6	44
7	Lille	28	11	10	7	+2	43
8	Nantes	28	12	6	10	+6	42
9	Lyon	28	11	9	8	+3	42
10	Monaco	28	11	8	9	+10	41
11	Montpellier	28	11	5	12	+1	38
12	Reims	28	8	11	9	+1	35
13	Brest	28	9	8	11	-6	35
14	Angers	28	7	8	13	-10	29
15	Troyes	29	7	8	14	-15	29
16	Clermont	29	7	7	15	-23	28
17	Lorient	28	6	9	13	-19	27
18	St Etienne	29	6	9	14	-22	27
19	Metz	28	4	11	13	-21	23
20	Bordeaux	28	4	10	14	-30	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	13	1	0	+27	40
2	Rennes	14	10	1	3	+24	31
3	Nantes	14	9	2	3	+11	29
4	Strasbourg	14	8	3	3	+15	27
5	Lens	15	7	5	3	+10	26
6	Lyon	15	7	5	3	+7	26
7	Monaco	14	7	4	3	+13	25
8	Montpellier	15	7	3	5	+6	24
9	Nice	14	7	3	4	+4	24
10	Lille	14	6	6	2	+3	24
11	Marseille	14	5	5	4	+6	20
12	Brest	14	5	3	6	-1	18
13	Reims	13	4	5	4	+5	17
14	Angers	14	5	1	8	-3	16
15	Lorient	13	4	4	5	-3	16
16	Troyes	14	3	6	5	-1	15
17	St Etienne	15	3	6	6	-9	15
18	Clermont	14	3	5	6	-5	14
19	Bordeaux	14	2	5	7	-7	11
20	Metz	14	1	6	7	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	14	9	3	2	+11	30
2	Nice	14	8	3	3	+13	27
3	Paris SG	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Strasbourg	14	5	5	4	+3	20
5	Lille	14	5	4	5	-1	19
6	Rennes	14	5	3	6	+6	18
7	Lens	14	5	3	6	-4	18
8	Reims	15	4	6	5	-4	18
9	Brest	14	4	5	5	-5	17
10	Monaco	14	4	4	6	-3	16
11	Lyon	13	4	4	5	-4	16
12	Montpellier	13	4	2	7	-5	14
13	Metz	14	3	5	6	-11	14
14	Troyes	15	4	2	9	-14	14
15	Clermont	15	4	2	9	-18	14
16	Nantes	14	3	4	7	-5	13
17	Angers	14	2	7	5	-7	13
18	St Etienne	14	3	3	8	-13	12
19	Lorient	15	2	5	8	-16	11
20	Bordeaux	14	2	5	7	-23	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.