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Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Lorient
S T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Troyes
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 23%
22%
24%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
43%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
49%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lorient 17. · Troyes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 37 25 8 4 +49 83
2 Monaco 37 20 8 9 +25 68
3 Marseille 37 20 8 9 +21 68
4 Rennes 37 20 5 12 +42 65
5 Nice 37 19 7 11 +15 64
6 Strasbourg 37 17 12 8 +21 63
7 Lens 37 17 10 10 +14 61
8 Lyon 37 16 11 10 +14 59
9 Nantes 37 15 9 13 +7 54
10 Lille 37 14 12 11 +0 54
11 Brest 37 13 9 15 -6 48
12 Reims 37 11 13 13 +0 46
13 Montpellier 37 12 7 18 -10 43
14 Angers 37 9 11 17 -13 38
15 Troyes 37 9 10 18 -16 37
16 Clermont 37 9 9 19 -30 36
17 Lorient 37 8 11 18 -28 35
18 Metz 37 6 13 18 -29 31
19 St Etienne 37 7 10 20 -35 31
20 Bordeaux 37 5 13 19 -41 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Troyes
22′
Y. Touzghar 0–1
R. Ripart
Half-time 0–1
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 Y. Larouci
↦ X. Chavalerin
63′
🔁 Mama Baldé
↦ G. Biancone
65′
🟨 Renaud Ripart
D. Ouattara 🔁
↦ F. Lemoine
67′
A. Laurienté 🔁
↦ T. Moffi
68′
1–1 A. Laurienté
D. Ouattara
74′
78′
🟨 Yasser Larouci
J. Hergault 🔁
↦ Igor Silva
80′
81′
🔁 A. Rami
↦ Abdu Conté
81′
🔁 I. Ugbo
↦ Y. Touzghar
85′
🟥 Issa Kaboré
S. Soumano 🔁
↦ L. Abergel
87′
Armand Lauriente 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lorient

4-3-3
1 M. Dreyer G
21 J. Morel D
25 V. Le Goff D
2 Igor Silva D
3 M. Jenz D
18 F. Lemoine M
23 T. Monconduit M
6 L. Abergel M
10 E. Le Fée F
13 T. Moffi F
9 I. Koné F
Bench (9)
38 D. Ouattara
28 A. Laurienté
14 J. Hergault
22 S. Soumano
30 P. Nardi
19 L. Pétrot
8 B. Innocent
17 H. Mendes
11 Q. Boisgard

Coach: C. Pélissier

Troyes

5-4-1
40 J. Moulin G
2 E. Palmer-Brown D
17 Y. Salmier D
12 Abdu Conté D
4 G. Biancone D
29 I. Kaboré D
24 X. Chavalerin M
10 F. Tardieu M
6 R. Kouamé M
7 Y. Touzghar F
20 R. Ripart M
Bench (9)
22 Y. Larouci
25 Mama Baldé
23 A. Rami
13 I. Ugbo
14 D. Chambost
19 O. El Hajjam
16 S. Rénot
5 T. Dingomé
3 Y. Koné

Coach: B. Irles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
3,57
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.