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Ligue 1

Referee: P Gaillouste

Paris SG

S S S S T

3–1

Full-time

St Etienne

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

72%

20%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

60%

64%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

2,1

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

6 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · St Etienne 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	25	18	5	2	+31	59
2	Nice	26	14	5	7	+16	47
3	Marseille	25	13	7	5	+15	46
4	Rennes	26	13	4	9	+26	43
5	Strasbourg	26	12	7	7	+17	43
6	Lyon	25	10	9	6	+3	39
7	Monaco	25	10	8	7	+11	38
8	Nantes	25	11	5	9	+5	38
9	Lens	25	10	7	8	+4	37
10	Montpellier	26	11	4	11	+3	37
11	Lille	25	9	9	7	-3	36
12	Brest	25	8	8	9	-3	32
13	Angers	25	7	8	10	-6	29
14	Reims	25	6	10	9	-1	28
15	Clermont	25	7	6	12	-15	27
16	St Etienne	25	5	7	13	-21	22
17	Troyes	25	5	6	14	-18	21
18	Lorient	25	4	9	12	-19	21
19	Metz	25	4	9	12	-20	21
20	Bordeaux	25	4	9	12	-25	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	11	1	0	+22	34
2	Rennes	13	9	1	3	+22	28
3	Lyon	13	7	5	1	+10	26
4	Nantes	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Monaco	13	7	4	2	+14	25
6	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+14	24
7	Lens	13	6	5	2	+9	23
8	Montpellier	14	7	2	5	+6	23
9	Nice	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Marseille	13	5	5	3	+7	20
11	Lille	12	5	5	2	-1	20
12	Brest	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Reims	12	4	4	4	+5	16
14	Lorient	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Angers	12	5	1	6	-1	16
16	Clermont	12	3	4	5	-3	13
17	Troyes	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Bordeaux	13	2	5	6	-5	11
19	St Etienne	13	2	5	6	-10	11
20	Metz	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	13	8	2	3	+13	26
2	Marseille	12	8	2	2	+8	26
3	Paris SG	13	7	4	2	+9	25
4	Strasbourg	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Lille	13	4	4	5	-2	16
6	Rennes	13	4	3	6	+4	15
7	Montpellier	12	4	2	6	-3	14
8	Lens	12	4	2	6	-5	14
9	Brest	13	3	5	5	-6	14
10	Metz	13	3	5	5	-10	14
11	Clermont	13	4	2	7	-12	14
12	Monaco	12	3	4	5	-3	13
13	Angers	13	2	7	4	-5	13
14	Lyon	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-4	12
16	Reims	13	2	6	5	-6	12
17	St Etienne	12	3	2	7	-11	11
18	Troyes	13	3	1	9	-16	10
19	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-20	10
20	Lorient	13	0	5	8	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.