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Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

U U S S S

0–3

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 59%

59%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

36%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

59%

45%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 1. · Lech Poznan 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	22	13	7	2	+23	46
2	Lech Poznan	22	13	6	3	+28	45
3	Rakow	23	13	6	4	+19	45
4	Lechia Gdansk	22	11	6	5	+11	39
5	Radomiak Radom	22	9	9	4	+9	36
6	Gornik Zabrze	22	9	5	8	+1	32
7	Cracovia	22	8	7	7	+1	31
8	Stal Mielec	22	8	7	7	-1	31
9	Wisla Plock	23	9	3	11	-3	30
10	Piast Gliwice	22	8	5	9	+2	29
11	Jagiellonia	22	7	7	8	-7	28
12	Slask Wroclaw	22	6	7	9	-4	25
13	Warta Poznan	22	5	8	9	-7	23
14	Zaglebie	22	7	2	13	-17	23
15	Legia	22	7	1	14	-9	22
16	Wisla	23	6	4	13	-13	22
17	Leczna	22	4	9	9	-17	21
18	Nieciecza	21	3	7	11	-16	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	11	9	2	0	+25	29
2	Pogon Szczecin	10	8	2	0	+18	26
3	Lechia Gdansk	11	8	2	1	+12	26
4	Wisla Plock	11	8	2	1	+12	26
5	Rakow	11	7	3	1	+17	24
6	Radomiak Radom	11	5	5	1	+6	20
7	Stal Mielec	12	6	2	4	+1	20
8	Cracovia	11	5	3	3	+3	18
9	Gornik Zabrze	12	5	3	4	+2	18
10	Jagiellonia	11	4	5	2	+4	17
11	Zaglebie	11	5	1	5	+0	16
12	Legia	11	5	0	6	-1	15
13	Piast Gliwice	11	4	2	5	-1	14
14	Wisla	11	4	2	5	-1	14
15	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-1	13
16	Nieciecza	11	3	4	4	-3	13
17	Warta Poznan	12	2	6	4	-4	12
18	Leczna	11	2	5	4	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	12	6	3	3	+2	21
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	5	2	+5	20
3	Lech Poznan	11	4	4	3	+3	16
4	Radomiak Radom	11	4	4	3	+3	16
5	Piast Gliwice	11	4	3	4	+3	15
6	Gornik Zabrze	10	4	2	4	-1	14
7	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Cracovia	11	3	4	4	-2	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	12	3	3	6	-3	12
10	Stal Mielec	10	2	5	3	-2	11
11	Warta Poznan	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Jagiellonia	11	3	2	6	-11	11
13	Leczna	11	2	4	5	-8	10
14	Wisla	12	2	2	8	-12	8
15	Legia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
16	Zaglebie	11	2	1	8	-17	7
17	Wisla Plock	12	1	1	10	-15	4
18	Nieciecza	10	0	3	7	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.