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LaLiga2

Las Palmas

T U S T T

2–2

Full-time

Lugo

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 31%

36%

25%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

43%

32%

Both score Ø 66%

61%

71%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

12 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 3

14 Free kicks against 24

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 9. · Lugo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	29	18	4	7	+24	58
2	Eibar	28	16	8	4	+13	56
3	Tenerife	29	15	7	7	+19	52
4	Valladolid	28	15	7	6	+13	52
5	Ponferradina	28	13	8	7	+7	47
6	Girona	28	12	6	10	+7	42
7	Ibiza	29	10	11	8	+4	41
8	Oviedo	29	9	14	6	+4	41
9	Las Palmas	28	10	9	9	+1	39
10	Cartagena	28	12	3	13	-3	39
11	Burgos	28	11	5	12	+5	38
12	Huesca	29	9	10	10	+6	37
13	Lugo	28	7	15	6	+2	36
14	Leganes	28	9	9	10	-1	36
15	Sp Gijon	28	9	8	11	-2	35
16	Zaragoza	28	6	15	7	-6	33
17	Mirandes	29	9	6	14	-9	33
18	Malaga	28	8	8	12	-18	32
19	Amorebieta	28	4	14	10	-9	26
20	Sociedad B	29	6	8	15	-11	26
21	Fuenlabrada	29	4	14	11	-13	26
22	Alcorcon	28	2	7	19	-33	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	15	11	2	2	+17	35
2	Valladolid	14	10	3	1	+15	33
3	Eibar	13	9	3	1	+10	30
4	Burgos	14	8	3	3	+15	27
5	Tenerife	14	8	3	3	+14	27
6	Girona	15	8	3	4	+11	27
7	Ponferradina	14	7	5	2	+10	26
8	Oviedo	15	6	7	2	+8	25
9	Cartagena	14	8	1	5	+7	25
10	Las Palmas	14	7	4	3	+7	25
11	Lugo	14	6	6	2	+4	24
12	Malaga	14	7	3	4	-1	24
13	Mirandes	15	7	2	6	+2	23
14	Ibiza	15	5	6	4	+4	21
15	Sp Gijon	14	6	3	5	+1	21
16	Huesca	15	5	5	5	+4	20
17	Leganes	13	4	6	3	+2	18
18	Fuenlabrada	15	3	9	3	+0	18
19	Zaragoza	14	3	8	3	-1	17
20	Amorebieta	14	3	7	4	-1	16
21	Sociedad B	14	2	4	8	-7	10
22	Alcorcon	13	1	5	7	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	15	7	5	3	+3	26
2	Tenerife	15	7	4	4	+5	25
3	Almeria	14	7	2	5	+7	23
4	Ponferradina	14	6	3	5	-3	21
5	Ibiza	14	5	5	4	+0	20
6	Valladolid	14	5	4	5	-2	19
7	Leganes	15	5	3	7	-3	18
8	Huesca	14	4	5	5	+2	17
9	Sociedad B	15	4	4	7	-4	16
10	Oviedo	14	3	7	4	-4	16
11	Zaragoza	14	3	7	4	-5	16
12	Girona	13	4	3	6	-4	15
13	Sp Gijon	14	3	5	6	-3	14
14	Las Palmas	14	3	5	6	-6	14
15	Cartagena	14	4	2	8	-10	14
16	Lugo	14	1	9	4	-2	12
17	Burgos	14	3	2	9	-10	11
18	Amorebieta	14	1	7	6	-8	10
19	Mirandes	14	2	4	8	-11	10
20	Fuenlabrada	14	1	5	8	-13	8
21	Malaga	14	1	5	8	-17	8
22	Alcorcon	15	1	2	12	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.