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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Paris SG

U U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Rennes

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 61%

74%

48%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

61%

39%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,9

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

12 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Rennes 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	23	17	5	1	+32	56
2	Nice	23	13	4	6	+17	43
3	Marseille	23	12	7	4	+16	43
4	Strasbourg	23	11	5	7	+16	38
5	Rennes	23	11	4	8	+22	37
6	Monaco	23	10	6	7	+11	36
7	Lyon	23	9	8	6	+1	35
8	Montpellier	23	10	4	9	+5	34
9	Lens	23	9	6	8	+3	33
10	Nantes	23	9	5	9	+2	32
11	Lille	23	8	8	7	-4	32
12	Angers	23	7	8	8	-4	29
13	Brest	23	7	7	9	-7	28
14	Reims	23	6	9	8	+0	27
15	Clermont	23	6	6	11	-16	24
16	Troyes	23	5	6	12	-11	21
17	Lorient	23	4	8	11	-18	20
18	Metz	23	4	8	11	-19	20
19	Bordeaux	23	4	8	11	-24	20
20	St Etienne	23	4	6	13	-22	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Rennes	12	8	1	3	+19	25
3	Monaco	12	7	3	2	+14	24
4	Strasbourg	12	7	2	3	+14	23
5	Montpellier	12	7	2	3	+9	23
6	Lyon	12	6	5	1	+8	23
7	Marseille	12	5	5	2	+9	20
8	Nantes	11	6	2	3	+6	20
9	Lens	11	5	4	2	+8	19
10	Lille	11	5	4	2	-1	19
11	Nice	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	Lorient	11	4	4	3	+1	16
13	Angers	11	5	1	5	+0	16
14	Reims	11	4	3	4	+5	15
15	Brest	11	4	3	4	-1	15
16	Clermont	11	3	4	4	-2	13
17	Troyes	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Bordeaux	12	2	4	6	-5	10
19	St Etienne	12	2	4	6	-10	10
20	Metz	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	11	8	1	2	+15	25
2	Paris SG	12	7	4	1	+11	25
3	Marseille	11	7	2	2	+7	23
4	Strasbourg	11	4	3	4	+2	15
5	Lens	12	4	2	6	-5	14
6	Lille	12	3	4	5	-3	13
7	Angers	12	2	7	3	-4	13
8	Brest	12	3	4	5	-6	13
9	Metz	12	3	4	5	-10	13
10	Rennes	11	3	3	5	+3	12
11	Monaco	11	3	3	5	-3	12
12	Nantes	12	3	3	6	-4	12
13	Reims	12	2	6	4	-5	12
14	Lyon	11	3	3	5	-7	12
15	Montpellier	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Clermont	12	3	2	7	-14	11
17	Troyes	11	3	1	7	-9	10
18	Bordeaux	11	2	4	5	-19	10
19	St Etienne	11	2	2	7	-12	8
20	Lorient	12	0	4	8	-19	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.