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Super League
Referee: Gustavo Correia
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Super League · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 43%
40%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
20%
29%
Both score Ø 27%
28%
25%
Average goals
1,9
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 9. · Aris Thessalonikis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 24 19 5 0 +29 62
2 PAOK 25 15 4 6 +23 49
3 AEK 25 14 3 8 +16 45
4 Giannina 26 12 6 8 +10 42
5 Aris 25 12 6 7 +6 42
6 Panathinaikos 26 12 3 11 +16 39
7 Aris Thessalonikis 24 11 6 7 +4 39
8 OFI Crete 26 8 12 6 +1 36
9 Asteras Tripolis 25 10 5 10 +2 35
10 Volos NFC 25 9 4 12 -5 31
11 Ionikos 26 7 7 12 -7 28
12 Panetolikos 26 8 4 14 -19 28
13 Lamia 26 4 7 15 -16 19
14 Atromitos 25 4 5 16 -26 17
15 Apollon 26 2 9 15 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis
41′
A. Kamara 0–1
J. Iturbe
Juan Munafo 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
Sito 🟨
52′
Jeronimo Barrales 🟨
53′
58′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ J. Iturbe
Xesc Regis 🔁
↦ Adrián Riera
59′
Eneko Capilla 🔁
↦ K. Soni
59′
59′
🔁 F. Bertoglio
↦ P. NDiaye
Pichu Atienza 🟨
61′
67′
🔁 M. García
↦ F. Bertoglio
68′
🔁 C. Doukouré
↦ Matilla
72′
🟨 Julián Cuesta
Léo Tilica 🔁
↦ Sito
76′
M. Iglesias 🔁
↦ José Luis Valiente
76′
79′
🟨 Daniel Sundgren
82′
🔁 Y. Benalouane
↦ A. Kamara
90′
🟨 Daniel Mancini
Asier Benito 🔁
↦ Pichu Atienza
91′
Francesc Regis 🟨
94′
97′
Lucas Sasha 0–2
M. García
99′
🟨 Mateo García
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
18 Pichu Atienza D
29 F. Álvarez D
12 David Carmona D
19 Pepe Castaño D
8 J. Munafo M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
23 Adrián Riera F
9 J. Barrales F
27 K. Soni F
Bench (9)
11 Xesc Regis
10 Eneko Capilla
7 Léo Tilica
17 M. Iglesias
22 Asier Benito
3 C. Tasoulis
45 G. Christopoulos
99 A. Tsiftsis
24 G. Kanellopoulos

Coach: M. Rastavac

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
21 D. Sundgren M
14 J. Brabec D
4 Fabiano D
22 C. Ganea D
26 Matilla M
88 Lucas Sasha M
17 P. N'Diaye M
7 D. Mancini M
15 J. Iturbe F
47 A. Kamara F
Bench (9)
16 Bruno Gama
18 F. Bertoglio
10 M. García
13 C. Doukouré
29 Y. Benalouane
50 L. Palma
20 I. Hajrović
99 M. Siampanis
66 E. Šakić

Coach: A. Terzis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.