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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Strasbourg
S T S S U
0–0
Full-time
Nice
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 52%
48%
56%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 46%
56%
36%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Strasbourg 5. · Nice 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 18 5 2 +31 59
2 Nice 25 14 4 7 +16 46
3 Marseille 25 13 7 5 +15 46
4 Rennes 26 13 4 9 +26 43
5 Strasbourg 25 12 6 7 +17 42
6 Lyon 25 10 9 6 +3 39
7 Monaco 25 10 8 7 +11 38
8 Nantes 25 11 5 9 +5 38
9 Lens 25 10 7 8 +4 37
10 Montpellier 26 11 4 11 +3 37
11 Lille 25 9 9 7 -3 36
12 Brest 25 8 8 9 -3 32
13 Angers 25 7 8 10 -6 29
14 Reims 25 6 10 9 -1 28
15 Clermont 25 7 6 12 -15 27
16 St Etienne 25 5 7 13 -21 22
17 Troyes 25 5 6 14 -18 21
18 Lorient 25 4 9 12 -19 21
19 Metz 25 4 9 12 -20 21
20 Bordeaux 25 4 9 12 -25 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Nice
-5′
🟥 Justin Kluivert
19′
🟨 Dante
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Dante
48′
🟥 Dante
Lucas Perrin 🟨
56′
65′
🔁 H. Boudaoui
↦ J. Kluivert
H. Diallo 🔁
↦ S. Prcić
66′
66′
🔁 M. Lemina
↦ K. Thuram-Ulien
69′
🔁 E. Guessand
↦ A. Delort
I. Sissoko 🔁
↦ J. Bellegarde
75′
82′
🔁 C. Stengs
↦ A. Gouiri
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-5-2
1 M. Sels G
2 F. Guilbert M
24 A. Djiku D
22 G. Nyamsi D
19 A. Caci M
5 L. Perrin D
14 S. Prcić M
10 A. Thomasson M
17 J. Bellegarde M
9 K. Gameiro F
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (9)
20 H. Diallo
27 I. Sissoko
33 M. Elimbi Gilbert
6 J. Aholou
4 K. Fila
15 M. Sahi
34 N. Kandil
40 A. Bellaarouch
35 H. Diarra

Coach: J. Stéphan

Nice

5-4-1
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
23 J. Lotomba D
26 M. Bard D
6 M. Schneiderlin M
15 Danilo Barbosa D
8 P. Rosario D
19 K. Thuram-Ulien M
7 A. Delort F
21 J. Kluivert M
11 A. Gouiri M
Bench (9)
28 H. Boudaoui
18 M. Lemina
24 E. Guessand
22 C. Stengs
14 B. Brahimi
33 A. Mendy
1 M. Bulka
9 K. Dolberg
10 A. Claude Maurice

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
3,37
B
3,39
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.