Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Paris SG
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | +24 | 50 |
| 2 |
Nice
|
22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | +18 | 43 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | +14 | 40 |
| 4 |
Strasbourg
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +15 | 35 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +20 | 34 |
| 6 |
Montpellier
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +7 | 34 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +9 | 33 |
| 8 |
Lens
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +5 | 33 |
| 9 |
Nantes
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +3 | 32 |
| 10 |
Lyon
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +2 | 32 |
| 11 |
Lille
|
22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | +0 | 32 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | +0 | 29 |
| 13 |
Brest
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 |
Reims
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 24 |
| 15 |
Clermont
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 |
Troyes
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 |
Bordeaux
|
22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -19 | 20 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -19 | 19 |
| 19 |
Lorient
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -20 | 17 |
| 20 |
St Etienne
|
21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -25 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Marquinhos
D
T. Kehrer
D
Nuno Mendes
D
K. Mbappé
F
Coach: M. Pochettino
M. Busi
D
B. Locko
M
J. Cajuste
M
N. Mbuku
M
Coach: Óscar García
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Paris SG
Brest
Lyon
Paris SG
Lorient
Paris SG
Paris SG
Monaco
Lens
Paris SG
E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.