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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Aberdeen
U T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Dundee United
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
30%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
41%
26%
Both score Ø 48%
63%
33%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 9. · Dundee United 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 27 21 3 3 +43 66
2 Rangers 27 19 6 2 +34 63
3 Hearts 27 12 7 8 +7 43
4 Hibernian 27 9 7 11 -2 34
5 Livingston 28 9 7 12 -4 34
6 Dundee United 27 9 7 11 -6 34
7 Motherwell 27 9 7 11 -12 34
8 St Mirren 26 7 12 7 -9 33
9 Aberdeen 27 8 7 12 -2 31
10 Ross County 28 7 9 12 -6 30
11 ST Johnstone 28 5 8 15 -17 23
12 Dundee 27 5 6 16 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Dundee United
David Bates 🟨
3′
4′
⚽ M. McNulty 0–1
0–2 R. Edwards ⚽
own goal
16′
41′
🔁 C. Butcher
↦ D. Levitt
Half-time 0–2
D. McGeouch 🔁
↦ C. McLennan
67′
76′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ T. Watt
T. Jenks 🔁
↦ M. Kennedy
77′
79′
🟨 Charlie Mulgrew
Connor Barron 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 K. Freeman
↦ K. McDonald
88′
🟨 Liam Smith
M. Ruth 🔁
↦ A. Montgomery
93′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
5 D. Gallagher D
27 D. Bates D
11 A. Montgomery D
16 F. Ojo M
33 M. Kennedy M
19 L. Ferguson M
29 C. Barron M
9 C. Ramírez F
18 C. McLennan D
10 V. Besuijen M
Bench (5)
15 D. McGeouch
20 T. Jenks
28 M. Ruth
39 J. Milne
25 G. Woods

Coach: B. Robson

Dundee United

3-4-1-2
1 B. Siegrist G
4 C. Mulgrew D
12 R. Edwards D
2 L. Smith M
29 R. Graham D
6 K. McDonald M
7 I. Niskanen M
19 D. Levitt M
23 I. Harkes F
9 M. McNulty F
32 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
18 C. Butcher
10 N. Clark
22 K. Freeman
13 C. Eriksson
26 C. Mochrie
17 A. Meekison
20 L. Neilson
33 S. McMann
15 T. Akinola

Coach: T. Courts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U ✓
3,53
B
5,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.