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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Paris SG

U U S U U

2–0

Full-time

Brest

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 50%

70%

30%

Points per game

2,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 70%

65%

75%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%

20 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 8

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Brest 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	14	5	1	+22	47
2	Nice	21	12	4	5	+16	40
3	Marseille	19	10	6	3	+12	36
4	Lens	21	9	6	6	+7	33
5	Rennes	20	9	4	7	+15	31
6	Montpellier	19	9	4	6	+9	31
7	Monaco	20	8	6	6	+6	30
8	Strasbourg	19	8	5	6	+12	29
9	Nantes	21	8	5	8	+1	29
10	Lille	19	7	7	5	+0	28
11	Lyon	19	6	8	5	+0	26
12	Angers	19	6	7	6	-1	25
13	Brest	20	6	7	7	-5	25
14	Reims	20	5	9	6	+0	24
15	Clermont	19	4	6	9	-12	18
16	Troyes	19	4	5	10	-10	17
17	Bordeaux	20	3	8	9	-14	17
18	Lorient	19	3	7	9	-16	16
19	Metz	20	3	7	10	-18	16
20	St Etienne	20	2	6	12	-24	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+15	25
2	Montpellier	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Rennes	10	6	1	3	+11	19
4	Lens	10	5	4	1	+10	19
5	Monaco	10	5	3	2	+8	18
6	Nice	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Strasbourg	10	5	2	3	+11	17
8	Lyon	10	4	5	1	+6	17
9	Nantes	10	5	2	3	+4	17
10	Marseille	10	4	4	2	+6	16
11	Lille	9	4	4	1	+1	16
12	Angers	9	4	1	4	+0	13
13	Reims	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	Lorient	9	3	3	3	-1	12
15	Brest	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Troyes	10	2	4	4	-1	10
17	Clermont	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	Bordeaux	11	1	4	6	-6	7
19	Metz	10	1	4	5	-7	7
20	St Etienne	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Paris SG	11	6	4	1	+7	22
3	Marseille	9	6	2	1	+6	20
4	Lens	11	4	2	5	-3	14
5	Brest	10	3	4	3	-2	13
6	Rennes	10	3	3	4	+4	12
7	Strasbourg	9	3	3	3	+1	12
8	Lille	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Angers	10	2	6	2	-1	12
10	Reims	11	2	6	3	-1	12
11	Monaco	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
13	Montpellier	9	3	2	4	+0	11
14	Bordeaux	9	2	4	3	-8	10
15	Lyon	9	2	3	4	-6	9
16	Metz	10	2	3	5	-11	9
17	Clermont	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Troyes	9	2	1	6	-9	7
19	St Etienne	9	1	2	6	-12	5
20	Lorient	10	0	4	6	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.