Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dunkerque
Dijon
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | +35 | 51 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +17 | 51 |
| 3 |
Ajaccio
|
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +9 | 45 |
| 4 |
Sochaux
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +5 | 44 |
| 5 |
Auxerre
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +10 | 42 |
| 6 |
Niort
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 7 |
Nimes
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +0 | 35 |
| 8 |
Le Havre
|
25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | +0 | 35 |
| 9 |
Pau FC
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 |
Guingamp
|
25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 |
Amiens
|
25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 30 |
| 12 |
Dijon
|
25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 |
Rodez
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Caen
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | +3 | 29 |
| 15 |
Bastia
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 16 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -11 | 29 |
| 17 |
Valenciennes
|
25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 18 |
Grenoble
|
25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -14 | 25 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 24 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -25 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nancy
Dunkerque
Dunkerque
Rodez
Nimes
Dunkerque
Niort
Dunkerque
Dunkerque
Paris FC
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.