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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Paris SG
S U S S S
4–2
Full-time
Strasbourg
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Paris SG 6. · Strasbourg 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nice 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Angers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Nantes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Lyon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Lens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Reims 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Monaco 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Lille 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Strasbourg 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Strasbourg
1–0 M. Icardi
A. Diallo
3′
1–1 L. Ajorque
own goal
25′
2–1 J. Draxler
27′
42′
🔁 A. Thomasson
↦ J. Aholou
Half-time 2–1
Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe 🟨
51′
53′
K. Gameiro 2–2
A. Thomasson
60′
🟨 Karol Fila
Danilo Pereira 🔁
↦ E. Ebimbe
60′
63′
🔁 A. Caci
↦ K. Fila
64′
L. Ajorque 2–3
D. Liénard
Pablo Sarabia 🔁
↦ J. Draxler
70′
76′
🔁 A. Waris
↦ K. Gameiro
76′
🔁 M. Siby
↦ S. Prcić
76′
🔁 H. Diallo
↦ L. Ajorque
79′
🟨 Alexander Djiku
81′
🟨 Alexander Djiku
81′
🟥 Alexander Djiku
3–3 Pablo Sarabia
K. Mbappé
86′
A. Kalimuendo-Muinga 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
88′
Rafinha 🔁
↦ G. Wijnaldum
88′
92′
🟨 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
3 P. Kimpembe D
24 T. Kehrer D
22 A. Diallo D
2 A. Hakimi D
18 G. Wijnaldum M
21 Ander Herrera M
23 J. Draxler F
36 E. Ebimbe M
9 M. Icardi F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
15 Danilo Pereira
19 Pablo Sarabia
29 A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
12 Rafinha
33 N. Bitumazala
38 E. Michut
16 Sergio Rico
35 I. Gharbi
31 E. Bitshiabu

Coach: M. Pochettino

Strasbourg

5-3-2
1 M. Sels G
24 A. Djiku D
5 L. Perrin D
4 K. Fila D
14 S. Prcić M
11 D. Liénard D
6 J. Aholou M
27 I. Sissoko D
17 J. Bellegarde M
9 K. Gameiro F
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (9)
10 A. Thomasson
19 A. Caci
8 A. Waris
18 M. Siby
20 H. Diallo
16 E. Kawashima
32 M. Senaya
33 H. Diarra
21 M. Chahiri

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,20
U
7,25
B
13,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,40
U2,5
2,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.