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Premier League
Referee: D Coote
Burnley
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Brighton
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Burnley Brighton
1–0 J. Tarkowski
A. Westwood
2′
Jóhann Guðmundsson 🟨
9′
James Tarkowski 🟨
13′
26′
🟨 Neal Maupay
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Lallana
↦ E. Mwepu
A. Barnes 🔁
↦ J. Rodriguez
70′
72′
🔁 J. Moder
↦ S. Alzate
73′
N. Maupay 1–1
J. Moder
76′
🔁 A. Mac Allister
↦ L. Trossard
78′
A. Mac Allister 1–2
P. Groß
J. Brownhill 🔁
↦ D. McNeil
79′
M. Vydra 🔁
↦ J. Cork
85′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
1 N. Pope G
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
4 J. Cork M
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
18 A. Westwood M
19 J. Rodriguez F
9 C. Wood F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (9)
10 A. Barnes
8 J. Brownhill
27 M. Vydra
37 B. Thomas
23 E. Pieters
38 L. Richardson
26 P. Bardsley
13 W. Hennessey
22 N. Collins

Coach: S. Dyche

Brighton

4-1-4-1
1 Robert Sánchez G
4 A. Webster D
24 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
13 P. Groß D
20 S. March M
8 Y. Bissouma M
12 E. Mwepu M
11 L. Trossard M
9 N. Maupay F
17 S. Alzate M
Bench (9)
14 A. Lallana
15 J. Moder
10 A. Mac Allister
19 A. Zeqiri
21 F. Andone
23 J. Steele
25 M. Caicedo
30 T. Richards
6 M. Karbownik

Coach: G. Potter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,19
U
3,09
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,46
U2,5
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Coote · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.