Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Warta Poznan
Legia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 3 |
Jagiellonia
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 |
Piast Gliwice
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |
Rakow
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 |
Warta Poznan
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 5 |
| 8 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 |
Wisla
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |
Radomiak Radom
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 |
Stal Mielec
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 |
Zaglebie
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Legia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Wisla Plock
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Nieciecza
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 |
Cracovia
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | Leczna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Warta Poznan
Warta Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
Slask Wroclaw
Warta Poznan
Cracovia
Warta Poznan
Warta Poznan
Slask Wroclaw
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.