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Premier League
Referee: M Dean
Watford
T S S T S
3–2
Full-time
Aston Villa
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jan -20 Aston Villa – Watford 2–1 28. Dec -19 Watford – Aston Villa 3–0 30. Apr -16 Watford – Aston Villa 3–2 28. Nov -15 Aston Villa – Watford 2–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,14
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B
2,41
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,03
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Dean · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.