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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Lille

S S U S U

0–4

Full-time

Nice

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

0,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

62% Possession 38%

11 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 7. · Nice 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.