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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
Eupen
T S U U S
2–1
Full-time
St Truiden
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
8 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 6. · St Truiden 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 5 3 0 2 +2 9
2 Oostende 4 3 0 1 +0 9
3 Anderlecht 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 St. Gilloise 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Charleroi 4 1 3 0 +3 6
6 Eupen 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Cercle Brugge 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Antwerp 4 1 1 2 +1 4
9 Waregem 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Genk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 St Truiden 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Standard 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Mechelen 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Seraing United 3 1 0 2 -4 3
16 Seraing 4 1 0 3 -5 3
17 Club Brugge 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Beerschot VA 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen St Truiden
1–0 B. Lambert
S. Peeters
21′
Boris Lambert 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Christian Brüls
J. Déom 🔁
↦ B. Lambert
58′
60′
🔁 A. Koita
↦ K. Matsubara
61′
🔁 L. Cacace
↦ M. Caufriez
Stef Peeters 🟨
63′
Konan N'Dri 🟨
64′
65′
N. Balongo 1–1
Edo Kayembe 🟨
67′
I. Nuhu 🔁
↦ S. Prevljak
71′
73′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
2–1 J. Heris
74′
Carlos Embalo 🔁
↦ J. Ngoy
86′
M. Koné 🔁
↦ K. N’Dri
86′
86′
🔁 S. Van Dessel
↦ D. Hashioka
87′
🔁 W. Janssens
↦ R. Reitz
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Eupen

3-5-2
33 A. Nurudeen G
32 A. Beck M
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
35 B. Lambert M
22 E. Agbadou D
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
11 K. N’Dri M
Bench (7)
14 J. Déom
29 I. Nuhu
17 Carlos Embalo
77 M. Koné
70 P. Akono
13 S. Keita
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: S. Krämer

St Truiden

3-4-1-2
21 D. Schmidt G
39 Jonathan Buatu D
2 K. Matsubara M
3 M. Caufriez D
27 D. Lavalée D
4 D. Hashioka M
44 C. Brüls M
32 C. Durkin M
8 R. Reitz F
7 I. Mboyo F
30 N. Balongo F
Bench (7)
14 A. Koita
13 L. Cacace
19 S. Van Dessel
22 W. Janssens
1 K. Steppe
16 S. De Ridder
26 Jorge Teixeira

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,75
B
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.