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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Peterboro
T
2–1
Full-time
Derby
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Peterboro Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,0
1,2
Conceded
3,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-1,0
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Peterboro 24. · Derby 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Luton 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Hull 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Derby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Preston 1 0 0 1 -3 0
24 Peterboro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
25 Peterborough 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
🔒
U
3,28
🔒
B
3,41
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,18
🔒
U2,5
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.