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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Paris SG

S T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Lens

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,2

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 56%

68%

44%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

62%

56%

Both score Ø 52%

35%

68%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 2. · Lens 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	34	21	10	3	+35	73
2	Paris SG	34	23	3	8	+51	72
3	Monaco	34	22	5	7	+33	71
4	Lyon	34	19	10	5	+32	67
5	Lens	34	15	11	8	+8	56
6	Marseille	35	15	11	9	+7	56
7	Rennes	34	15	9	10	+12	54
8	Montpellier	34	12	11	11	-3	47
9	Nice	34	13	7	14	-1	46
10	Metz	34	11	10	13	-4	43
11	Reims	34	9	14	11	-2	41
12	Angers	34	11	8	15	-17	41
13	Brest	34	11	7	16	-10	40
14	St Etienne	34	10	9	15	-13	39
15	Strasbourg	35	10	8	17	-10	38
16	Bordeaux	34	10	6	18	-16	36
17	Lorient	34	9	8	17	-18	35
18	Nantes	34	6	13	15	-17	31
19	Nimes	34	8	7	19	-29	31
20	Dijon	34	3	9	22	-38	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	17	11	5	1	+22	38
2	Paris SG	17	11	1	5	+25	34
3	Lyon	17	10	3	4	+17	33
4	Lille	17	9	6	2	+15	33
5	Marseille	18	9	5	4	+8	32
6	Brest	17	8	4	5	+4	28
7	Lens	17	7	6	4	+5	27
8	Rennes	17	8	3	6	+3	27
9	Lorient	17	8	2	7	-1	26
10	Montpellier	17	7	3	7	+0	24
11	Nice	17	6	3	8	-4	21
12	Reims	17	4	8	5	-3	20
13	Metz	17	5	4	8	-4	19
14	Bordeaux	17	5	4	8	-6	19
15	St Etienne	17	4	6	7	-9	18
16	Angers	17	5	3	9	-9	18
17	Strasbourg	17	4	4	9	-7	16
18	Nantes	17	2	8	7	-10	14
19	Nimes	17	3	4	10	-14	13
20	Dijon	17	1	6	10	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	17	12	4	1	+20	40
2	Paris SG	17	12	2	3	+26	38
3	Lyon	17	9	7	1	+15	34
4	Monaco	17	11	0	6	+11	33
5	Lens	17	8	5	4	+3	29
6	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+9	27
7	Nice	17	7	4	6	+3	25
8	Metz	17	6	6	5	+0	24
9	Marseille	17	6	6	5	-1	24
10	Montpellier	17	5	8	4	-3	23
11	Angers	17	6	5	6	-8	23
12	Strasbourg	18	6	4	8	-3	22
13	Reims	17	5	6	6	+1	21
14	St Etienne	17	6	3	8	-4	21
15	Nimes	17	5	3	9	-15	18
16	Nantes	17	4	5	8	-7	17
17	Bordeaux	17	5	2	10	-10	17
18	Brest	17	3	3	11	-14	12
19	Lorient	17	1	6	10	-17	9
20	Dijon	17	2	3	12	-23	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.