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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Godinho

Sp Braga

U U S U S

1–2

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

16 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Braga 8. · Sp Lisbon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Vizela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
11	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-3	0
12	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.