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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Strasbourg

U U U T S

1–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 63%

33%

93%

Points per game

1,4

2,9

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

47%

87%

Both score Ø 57%

67%

47%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,6

3,2

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+2,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

4 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 11

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 9. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	14	1	0	+39	43
2	Lille	16	9	3	4	+10	30
3	Montpellier	16	8	5	3	+12	29
4	Lyon	16	8	4	4	+6	28
5	Marseille	16	8	2	6	+4	26
6	St Etienne	16	7	5	4	+3	26
7	Nice	16	7	4	5	-2	25
8	Nimes	16	6	5	5	+3	23
9	Strasbourg	15	5	6	4	+6	21
10	Bordeaux	16	5	6	5	+0	21
11	Reims	16	5	6	5	-4	21
12	Nantes	16	5	5	6	+0	20
13	Rennes	16	5	5	6	-4	20
14	Angers	16	4	6	6	-2	18
15	Toulouse	16	4	6	6	-10	18
16	Dijon	16	4	4	8	-10	16
17	Caen	16	2	7	7	-7	13
18	Monaco	16	3	4	9	-8	13
19	Amiens	16	4	1	11	-15	13
20	Guingamp	16	1	5	10	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	8	0	0	+24	24
2	Lille	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	St Etienne	8	6	2	0	+10	20
4	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Lyon	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	Bordeaux	9	4	3	2	+3	15
8	Nantes	8	3	3	2	+7	12
9	Reims	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Strasbourg	7	3	2	2	+4	11
11	Nice	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Nimes	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Angers	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Amiens	8	3	0	5	-2	9
15	Toulouse	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Rennes	7	2	2	3	-4	8
17	Caen	8	1	4	3	-2	7
18	Dijon	8	2	1	5	-9	7
19	Guingamp	7	0	3	4	-7	3
20	Monaco	8	0	3	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+15	19
2	Nice	8	4	3	1	+3	15
3	Montpellier	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Nimes	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Rennes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Strasbourg	8	2	4	2	+2	10
8	Monaco	8	3	1	4	+0	10
9	Lille	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Angers	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Dijon	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Reims	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-7	9
14	Toulouse	8	2	3	3	-7	9
15	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Bordeaux	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Caen	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	St Etienne	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Guingamp	9	1	2	6	-14	5
20	Amiens	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.