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Championship
Referee: G Eltringham
Nott'm Forest
U U U T T
1–2
Full-time
Bournemouth
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 22. · Bournemouth 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Luton 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Hull 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Peterboro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
8 Peterborough 2 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Derby 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Preston 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Bournemouth
16′
🟨 Chris Mepham
28′
D. Brooks 0–1
D. Solanke
35′
🟨 David Brooks
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. McKenna
P. Zinckernagel
48′
58′
P. Billing 1–2
J. Anthony
60′
🟨 David Brooks
60′
🟥 David Brooks
A. Mighten 🔁
↦ J. Lolley
68′
Jack Colback 🟨
73′
L. Grabban 🔁
↦ L. Taylor
76′
81′
🔁 L. Davis
↦ E. Marcondes
João Carvalho 🔁
↦ J. Colback
83′
Scott McKenna 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 C. Saydee
↦ D. Solanke
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
30 B. Samba G
3 Tobias Figueiredo D
26 S. McKenna D
24 J. Osei-Tutu D
27 J. Lawrence-Gabriel D
8 J. Colback M
22 R. Yates M
20 B. Johnson M
33 L. Taylor F
11 P. Zinckernagel M
23 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
17 A. Mighten
7 L. Grabban
10 João Carvalho
38 T. Fornah
18 Cafú
1 E. Horvath
44 F. Back

Coach: C. Hughton

Bournemouth

4-3-3
42 M. Travers G
5 L. Kelly D
6 C. Mepham D
33 J. Zemura D
35 Z. Rossi D
11 E. Marcondes M
29 P. Billing M
7 D. Brooks F
26 G. Kilkenny M
9 D. Solanke F
32 J. Anthony F
Bench (7)
20 L. Davis
38 C. Saydee
39 N. Moriah-Welsh
44 B. Camp
40 W. Dennis
28 K. Taylor
36 R. Glover

Coach: S. Parker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,44
U
3,29
B ✓
2,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.