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Ligue 1

Referee: F Schneider

Marseille

S S T U T

2–1

Full-time

Nimes

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 42%

45%

39%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

6 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 5. · Nimes 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	30	26	3	1	+71	81
2	Lille	31	18	7	6	+22	61
3	Lyon	32	16	8	8	+13	56
4	St Etienne	31	14	8	9	+8	50
5	Marseille	31	14	6	11	+5	48
6	Reims	31	11	14	6	+0	47
7	Nice	31	13	8	10	-6	47
8	Montpellier	31	11	12	8	+7	45
9	Strasbourg	31	10	13	8	+14	43
10	Nimes	31	12	7	12	+1	43
11	Rennes	31	11	9	11	+0	42
12	Angers	31	8	14	9	+0	38
13	Bordeaux	31	9	11	11	-1	38
14	Toulouse	31	8	11	12	-15	35
15	Nantes	31	9	7	15	-5	34
16	Amiens	32	8	8	16	-19	32
17	Monaco	31	7	10	14	-15	31
18	Dijon	32	6	7	19	-24	25
19	Caen	31	4	11	16	-22	23
20	Guingamp	31	5	8	18	-34	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	15	1	0	+47	46
2	Lyon	16	10	3	3	+14	33
3	St Etienne	15	10	2	3	+13	32
4	Marseille	15	9	4	2	+16	31
5	Lille	15	9	4	2	+16	31
6	Reims	16	7	7	2	+6	28
7	Bordeaux	16	7	6	3	+6	27
8	Nice	15	8	3	4	+1	27
9	Nimes	16	7	5	4	+9	26
10	Rennes	15	7	4	4	+7	25
11	Strasbourg	15	6	6	3	+10	24
12	Montpellier	15	6	6	3	+9	24
13	Nantes	15	6	4	5	+7	22
14	Angers	16	5	7	4	+3	22
15	Amiens	16	6	3	7	-3	21
16	Toulouse	16	4	7	5	-3	19
17	Guingamp	16	3	5	8	-9	14
18	Monaco	16	3	5	8	-11	14
19	Dijon	16	3	4	9	-14	13
20	Caen	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	2	1	+24	35
2	Lille	16	9	3	4	+6	30
3	Lyon	16	6	5	5	-1	23
4	Montpellier	16	5	6	5	-2	21
5	Nice	16	5	5	6	-7	20
6	Strasbourg	16	4	7	5	+4	19
7	Reims	15	4	7	4	-6	19
8	St Etienne	16	4	6	6	-5	18
9	Monaco	15	4	5	6	-4	17
10	Rennes	16	4	5	7	-7	17
11	Nimes	15	5	2	8	-8	17
12	Marseille	16	5	2	9	-11	17
13	Angers	15	3	7	5	-3	16
14	Toulouse	15	4	4	7	-12	16
15	Dijon	16	3	3	10	-10	12
16	Caen	16	2	6	8	-11	12
17	Nantes	16	3	3	10	-12	12
18	Bordeaux	15	2	5	8	-7	11
19	Amiens	16	2	5	9	-16	11
20	Guingamp	15	2	3	10	-25	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.