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Ligue 1

Referee: J Miguelgorry

Brest

S S T S T

0–3

Full-time

Strasbourg

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,3

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,7

3,1

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

2,1

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%

14 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

12 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 13. · Strasbourg 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	0	2	+17	18
2	Lille	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Rennes	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Marseille	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Nice	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Lens	7	4	1	2	+0	13
7	Angers	8	4	1	3	-6	13
8	Montpellier	7	3	2	2	+4	11
9	Monaco	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Lyon	7	2	4	1	+3	10
11	St Etienne	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Bordeaux	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Brest	7	3	0	4	-4	9
14	Metz	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	Nantes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Nimes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Lorient	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Strasbourg	7	1	0	6	-10	3
19	Reims	7	0	2	5	-7	2
20	Dijon	8	0	2	6	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Montpellier	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Monaco	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Nantes	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Angers	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Bordeaux	4	1	3	0	+3	6
10	Metz	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Brest	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	Nice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
14	Lyon	3	1	2	0	+3	5
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Reims	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Rennes	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Lille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Nice	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Angers	4	2	0	2	-6	6
7	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
11	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Monaco	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Lorient	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Brest	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Reims	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Metz	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.