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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

Lille

S S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Lyon

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 47%

52%

41%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

44%

48%

Both score Ø 43%

41%

44%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 4. · Lyon 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	22	2	3	+51	68
2	Marseille	28	16	8	4	+12	56
3	Rennes	28	15	5	8	+14	50
4	Lille	27	14	4	9	+7	46
5	Reims	28	10	11	7	+5	41
6	Nice	28	11	8	9	+3	41
7	Lyon	27	11	7	9	+16	40
8	Montpellier	28	11	7	10	+1	40
9	Monaco	28	11	7	10	+0	40
10	Angers	28	11	6	11	-5	39
11	Strasbourg	27	11	5	11	+0	38
12	Bordeaux	28	9	10	9	+6	37
13	Nantes	28	11	4	13	-3	37
14	Brest	28	8	10	10	-3	34
15	Metz	28	8	10	10	-8	34
16	Dijon	28	7	9	12	-10	30
17	St Etienne	28	8	6	14	-16	30
18	Nimes	28	7	6	15	-15	27
19	Amiens	28	4	11	13	-19	23
20	Toulouse	28	3	4	21	-36	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	12	1	1	+33	37
2	Montpellier	14	10	2	2	+16	32
3	Lille	14	10	2	2	+14	32
4	Rennes	14	9	2	3	+11	29
5	Nice	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Marseille	14	8	4	2	+7	28
7	Angers	15	8	3	4	+7	27
8	Monaco	14	8	2	4	+7	26
9	Brest	14	6	6	2	+10	24
10	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+8	24
11	Dijon	14	6	6	2	+5	24
12	Reims	14	5	7	2	+5	22
13	Nimes	14	6	2	6	+2	20
14	Nantes	14	6	2	6	+0	20
15	Lyon	13	5	4	4	+10	19
16	Metz	14	5	4	5	+1	19
17	St Etienne	14	4	6	4	-3	18
18	Bordeaux	13	4	5	4	+7	17
19	Amiens	14	3	5	6	-6	14
20	Toulouse	13	3	0	10	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	1	2	+18	31
2	Marseille	14	8	4	2	+5	28
3	Lyon	14	6	3	5	+6	21
4	Rennes	14	6	3	5	+3	21
5	Bordeaux	15	5	5	5	-1	20
6	Reims	14	5	4	5	+0	19
7	Nantes	14	5	2	7	-3	17
8	Metz	14	3	6	5	-9	15
9	Monaco	14	3	5	6	-7	14
10	Lille	13	4	2	7	-7	14
11	Strasbourg	14	4	2	8	-8	14
12	Nice	13	3	4	6	-5	13
13	Angers	13	3	3	7	-12	12
14	St Etienne	14	4	0	10	-13	12
15	Brest	14	2	4	8	-13	10
16	Amiens	14	1	6	7	-13	9
17	Montpellier	14	1	5	8	-15	8
18	Nimes	14	1	4	9	-17	7
19	Dijon	14	1	3	10	-15	6
20	Toulouse	15	0	4	11	-23	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.