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Ligue 1
Referee: Francois Letexier
Paris SG
S S S S U
6–2
Full-time
Bordeaux
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
3,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 72%
86%
57%
Points per game
2,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 43%
29%
57%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
3,0
1,9
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–1

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 18
9 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Bordeaux 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 6 1 0 +18 19
2 Monaco 8 6 1 1 +13 19
3 Bordeaux 7 4 3 0 +6 15
4 St Etienne 7 4 2 1 +3 14
5 Marseille 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Nantes 7 4 1 2 +0 13
7 Lyon 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Caen 7 4 0 3 +2 12
9 Nice 7 3 1 3 +2 10
10 Montpellier 8 2 3 3 -1 9
11 Guingamp 7 3 0 4 -3 9
12 Angers 7 1 5 1 +1 8
13 Troyes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Toulouse 7 2 1 4 -6 7
15 Rennes 7 1 3 3 -1 6
16 Amiens 7 2 0 5 -6 6
17 Dijon 7 1 2 4 -7 5
18 Lille 7 1 2 4 -7 5
19 Strasbourg 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Metz 7 1 0 6 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Bordeaux
1–0 Neymar
5′
2–0 E. Cavani
Neymar
12′
3–0 T. Meunier
Yuri
21′
31′
Y. Sankharé 3–1
N. de Préville
34′
🔁 I. Lewczuk
↦ Y. Sabaly
39′
🟨 Vukašin Jovanović
4–1 Neymar
40′
Thomas Meunier 🟨
45′
5–1 J. Draxler
K. Mbappé
45′
Half-time 5–1
56′
🔁 A. Mendy
↦ N. de Préville
6–1 K. Mbappé
J. Draxler
58′
Á. Di María 🔁
↦ E. Cavani
61′
64′
🟨 Younousse Sankharé
G. Lo Celso 🔁
↦ A. Rabiot
70′
75′
🔁 Jonathan Cafú
↦ F. Kamano
C. Nkunku 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
79′
90′
Malcom 6–2
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-2-3-1
16 A. Areola G
17 Yuri D
12 T. Meunier D
5 Marquinhos D
3 P. Kimpembe D
6 M. Verratti M
23 J. Draxler M
25 A. Rabiot M
9 E. Cavani F
10 Neymar F
29 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
11 Á. Di María
18 G. Lo Celso
24 C. Nkunku
1 K. Trapp
2 Thiago Silva
7 Lucas Moura
32 Dani Alves

Coach: Unai Emery

Bordeaux

4-3-3
1 B. Costil G
20 Y. Sabaly D
21 T. Pellenard D
4 V. Jovanović D
5 Otávio M
14 J. Toulalan D
13 Y. Sankharé M
19 L. Lerager M
12 N. de Préville F
7 Malcom F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
6 I. Lewczuk
15 A. Mendy
22 Jonathan Cafú
18 J. Plašil
23 V. Vada
24 G. Laborde
30 J. Prior

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Francois Letexier · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.