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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Nimes

U T T T U

3–0

Full-time

Brest

U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%

21 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nimes 18. · Brest 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Rennes	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Lyon	4	2	1	1	+8	7
4	Lille	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Nice	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Angers	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Bordeaux	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Reims	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Marseille	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Metz	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
16	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Nimes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lille	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+6	4
5	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Metz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
4	Lyon	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Paris SG	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Reims	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Metz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Angers	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.