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Serie A
Referee: M Marcenaro
Bologna
T T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Udinese
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,51 xG 0,60
46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 10. · Udinese 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 26 21 1 4 +41 +33.0 64
2 Milan 26 15 9 2 +21 +14.2 54
3 Roma 26 16 2 8 +18 +10.3 50
4 Napoli 26 15 5 6 +12 +8.3 50
5 Juventus 26 13 7 6 +18 +22.9 46
6 Como 26 12 9 5 +22 +16.6 45
7 Atalanta 26 12 9 5 +14 +9.2 45
8 Sassuolo 26 10 5 11 -3 -7.6 35
9 Lazio 26 8 10 8 +1 -8.3 34
10 Bologna 25 9 6 10 +2 -0.6 33
11 Udinese 25 9 5 11 -10 -6.4 32
12 Parma 26 8 8 10 -12 -15.4 32
13 Cagliari 26 7 8 11 -7 -12.7 29
14 Genoa 26 6 9 11 -5 -0.7 27
15 Torino 26 7 6 13 -22 -10.0 27
16 Fiorentina 26 5 9 12 -9 +5.2 24
17 Cremonese 26 5 9 12 -15 -16.2 24
18 Lecce 26 6 6 14 -16 -17.4 24
19 Pisa 26 1 12 13 -23 -15.3 15
20 Verona 26 2 9 15 -27 -9.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Udinese
10′
🔁 N. Bertola
↦ O. Solet
Half-time 0–0
N. Moro 🔁
↦ T. Pobega
55′
F. Bernardeschi 🔁
↦ R. Orsolini
56′
N. Cambiaghi 🔁
↦ J. Rowe
56′
62′
🟨 Adam Buksa
Juan Miranda 🟨
68′
71′
🔁 J. Ekkelenkamp
↦ A. Buksa
Santiago Castro ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
74′
1–0 F. Bernardeschi
75′
80′
🔁 O. Zarraga
↦ J. Karlstrom
80′
🔁 I. Gueye
↦ C. Kabasele
N. Zortea 🔁
↦ J. Miranda
82′
T. Dallinga 🔁
↦ S. Castro
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bologna

4-3-3
1 L. Skorupski G
17 Joao Mario D
41 M. Vitik D
26 J. Lucumi D
33 J. Miranda D
23 S. Sohm M
8 R. Freuler M
4 T. Pobega M
7 R. Orsolini F
9 S. Castro F
11 J. Rowe F
Bench (12)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
5 E. Fauske Helland
6 N. Moro
10 F. Bernardeschi
16 N. Casale
19 L. Ferguson
20 N. Zortea
21 J. Odgaard
24 T. Dallinga
28 N. Cambiaghi
29 L. De Silvestri

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Udinese

3-5-2
40 M. Okoye G
31 T. Kristensen D
27 C. Kabasele D
28 O. Solet D
19 K. Ehizibue M
24 J. Piotrowski M
8 J. Karlstrom M
14 A. Atta M
33 J. Zemura M
10 N. Zaniolo F
18 A. Buksa F
Bench (11)
1 A. Nunziante
93 D. Padelli
6 O. Zarraga
7 I. Gueye
13 N. Bertola
15 V. Bayo
20 J. Arizala
22 B. Mlacic
29 A. Camara
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
38 L. Miller

Coach: Kosta Runjaic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
3,46
B
4,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,10
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Marcenaro · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.