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Europa League
Referee: Sven Jablonski
Bologna
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Roma
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 62%
60%
63%
Points per game
2,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,46 xG 1,35
51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -25 Roma – Bologna 1–0 12. Jan -25 Bologna – Roma 2–2 10. Nov -24 Roma – Bologna 2–3 22. Apr -24 Roma – Bologna 1–3 17. Dec -23 Bologna – Roma 2–0

Match report

Bologna Roma
Juan Miranda 🟨
13′
15′
🟨 Wesley
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Vaz
↦ B. Zaragoza
João Mário 🟨
47′
1–0 F. Bernardeschi ⚽
J. Rowe
50′
Nicolò Casale 🟨
57′
58′
🔁 K. Tsimikas
↦ D. Rensch
66′
🔁 M. Hermoso
↦ Z. Celik
66′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ N. El Aynaoui
67′
🟨 Bryan Cristante
N. Cambiaghi 🔁
↦ J. Rowe
71′
71′
⚽ L. Pellegrini 1–1
T. Dallinga 🔁
↦ S. Castro
79′
C. Lykogiannis 🔁
↦ J. Miranda
79′
N. Zortea 🔁
↦ Joao Mario
84′
M. Vitik 🔁
↦ N. Casale
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-3-3
1 L. Skorupski G
17 Joao Mario D
16 N. Casale D
26 J. Lucumi D
33 J. Miranda D
19 L. Ferguson M
8 R. Freuler M
4 T. Pobega M
10 F. Bernardeschi F
9 S. Castro F
11 J. Rowe F
Bench (12)
13 F. Ravaglia
6 N. Moro
7 R. Orsolini
14 T. Heggem
20 N. Zortea
24 T. Dallinga
28 N. Cambiaghi
41 M. Vitik
30 B. Dominguez
22 C. Lykogiannis
21 J. Odgaard
23 S. Sohm

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Roma

3-4-1-2
99 M. Svilar G
19 Z. Celik D
5 E. Ndicka D
87 D. Ghilardi D
2 D. Rensch M
8 N. El Aynaoui M
61 N. Pisilli M
43 Wesley Franca M
4 B. Cristante F
97 B. Zaragoza F
14 D. Malen F
Bench (8)
70 G. De Marzi
95 P. Gollini
92 S. El Shaarawy
22 M. Hermoso
12 K. Tsimikas
24 J. Ziolkowski
78 R. Vaz
7 L. Pellegrini

Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sven Jablonski · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,02 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.