Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Verona
Pisa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | +33 | +27.5 | 55 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | +21 | +12.1 | 50 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | +12 | +8.3 | 46 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +21 | +23.2 | 45 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
23 | 14 | 1 | 8 | +13 | +6.4 | 43 |
| 6 |
Como
|
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | +21 | +16.2 | 41 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | +10 | +7.7 | 36 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | +3 | -6.2 | 32 |
| 9 |
Udinese
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -8 | -5.0 | 32 |
| 10 |
Bologna
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +2 | -2.4 | 30 |
| 11 |
Sassuolo
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | -8.0 | 29 |
| 12 |
Cagliari
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -3 | -11.7 | 28 |
| 13 |
Torino
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -18 | -7.2 | 26 |
| 14 |
Genoa
|
23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -7 | -0.3 | 23 |
| 15 |
Cremonese
|
23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -11 | -13.6 | 23 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -15 | -14.1 | 23 |
| 17 |
Lecce
|
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -17 | -15.8 | 18 |
| 18 |
Fiorentina
|
23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -11 | +2.4 | 17 |
| 19 |
Pisa
|
23 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -21 | -13.0 | 14 |
| 20 |
Verona
|
23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -23 | -6.3 | 14 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cagliari
Verona
Verona
Udinese
Cremonese
Verona
Verona
Bologna
Verona
Lazio
D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.