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Serie B
Referee: A Giua
Pisa
S S S T U
2–1
Full-time
Cremonese
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 50%
57%
43%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 60%
54%
65%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

28% Possession 72%
15 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 2. · Cremonese 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 37 25 7 5 +41 82
2 Pisa 37 21 8 8 +24 71
3 Spezia 37 16 15 6 +24 63
4 Cremonese 37 16 13 8 +19 61
5 Juve Stabia 37 14 12 11 +1 54
6 Catanzaro 37 11 19 7 +6 52
7 Palermo 37 14 9 14 +9 51
8 Cesena 37 13 11 13 -2 50
9 Bari 37 10 17 10 +1 47
10 Modena 37 10 15 12 -1 45
11 Sudtirol 37 12 9 16 -7 45
12 Reggiana 37 11 11 15 -9 44
13 Carrarese 37 11 11 15 -10 44
14 Mantova 37 10 13 14 -9 43
15 Brescia 37 8 16 13 -7 40
16 Sampdoria 37 8 16 13 -11 40
17 Frosinone 37 8 16 13 -14 40
18 Cittadella 37 10 10 17 -21 40
19 Salernitana 37 10 9 18 -12 39
20 Cosenza 37 7 13 17 -22 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Cremonese
1–0 S. Moreo
22′
37′
🟨 Žan Majer
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Collocolo
↦ C. Pickel
46′
🔁 L. Moretti
↦ L. Ravanelli
46′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ M. De Luca
O. Abildgaard 🔁
↦ M. Marin
62′
A. Castellini 🔁
↦ A. Calabresi
62′
70′
🔁 M. Castagnetti
↦ Ž. Majer
Antonio Caracciolo 🟨
75′
I. Touré 🔁
↦ S. Angori
77′
A. Arena 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
77′
82′
🔁 G. Gabbiani
↦ M. Valoti
2–0 I. Touré
82′
l. Tosi 🔁
↦ A. Lind
84′
93′
F. Bonazzoli 2–1
M. Collocolo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
1 Nícolas G
33 A. Calabresi D
4 A. Caracciolo D
94 G. Bonfanti D
66 L. Sernicola M
36 G. Piccinini M
6 M. Marin M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
11 M. Tramoni F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (12)
28 O. Abildgaard
27 A. Castellini
15 I. Touré
30 A. Arena
39 l. Tosi
21 M. Solbakken
22 L. Loria
5 S. Canestrelli
80 O. Moruțan
10 E. Vignato
8 M. Højholt
17 A. Rus

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 A. Fulignati G
55 F. Folino D
5 L. Ravanelli D
23 F. Ceccherini D
14 F. Gelli M
6 C. Pickel M
37 Ž. Majer M
8 M. Valoti M
7 Paulo Azzi M
90 F. Bonazzoli F
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (12)
18 M. Collocolo
42 L. Moretti
20 F. Vázquez
19 M. Castagnetti
97 G. Gabbiani
25 D. Triacca
27 J. Vandeputte
57 D. Lordkipanidze
4 T. Barbieri
30 J. Tånnander
24 D. Pavesi
12 G. Drago

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,69
U
3,28
B
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.