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Referee: W Delajod
Fiorentina
U S T S U
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Puskas Academy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
15 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fiorentina Puskas Academy
Cristiano Biraghi 🟨
-5′
9′
Z. Nagy 0–1
12′
M. Soisalo 0–2
Lucas Martínez Quarta 🟨
17′
Half-time 0–2
M. Kean 🔁
↦ L. Beltrán
46′
Dodô 🔁
↦ M. Kayode
46′
46′
🔁 G. Komáromi
↦ B. Ormonde-Ottewill
1–2 R. Sottil
48′
55′
🟨 Zsolt Nagy
J. Ikoné 🔁
↦ A. Colpani
56′
S. Amrabat 🔁
↦ A. Bianco
66′
2–2 L. Martínez Quarta
67′
74′
🔁 J. Levi
↦ M. Soisalo
3–2 M. Kean
75′
C. Kouamé 🔁
↦ R. Sottil
78′
82′
🔁 L. Colley
↦ A. Favorov
82′
🔁 R. Szolnoki
↦ J. Puljić
Marin Pongračić 🟨
85′
89′
W. Golla 3–3
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-4-3
43 David de Gea G
28 L. Martínez Quarta D
5 M. Pongračić D
6 L. Ranieri D
33 M. Kayode M
42 A. Bianco M
8 R. Mandragora M
65 F. Parisi M
23 A. Colpani F
9 L. Beltrán F
7 R. Sottil F
Bench (12)
20 M. Kean
2 Dodô
11 J. Ikoné
4 S. Amrabat
99 C. Kouamé
1 P. Terracciano
3 C. Biraghi
15 P. Comuzzo
24 A. Richardson
72 A. Barák
77 J. Brekalo
30 T. Martinelli

Coach: R. Palladino

Puskas Academy

4-2-3-1
91 Á. Pécsi G
23 Q. Maceiras D
14 W. Golla D
17 P. Stronati D
33 B. Ormonde-Ottewill D
19 A. Favorov M
15 J. Plšek M
20 M. Soisalo M
16 U. Nissilä M
25 Z. Nagy M
21 J. Puljić F
Bench (9)
7 G. Komáromi
10 J. Levi
9 L. Colley
22 R. Szolnoki
24 T. Markek
66 A. Markgráf
88 B. Vékony
11 A. Tyshchuk
31 Z. Bévárdi

Coach: Z. Hornyák

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.