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Serie B
Benevento
S T S S U
2–0
Full-time
Crotone
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
58%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 9
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benevento 1. · Crotone 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 12 7 4 1 +8 25
2 Crotone 12 6 3 3 +8 21
3 Pescara 13 6 2 5 +5 20
4 Cittadella 12 6 2 4 +0 20
5 Pordenone 12 5 4 3 +3 19
6 Perugia 12 5 4 3 +0 19
7 Chievo 12 4 6 2 +3 18
8 Salernitana 12 5 3 4 +1 18
9 Ascoli 12 5 2 5 +4 17
10 Empoli 12 4 5 3 +1 17
11 Frosinone 12 4 5 3 +1 17
12 Pisa 12 4 4 4 +1 16
13 Venezia 12 4 4 4 +0 16
14 Virtus Entella 12 4 4 4 -2 16
15 Cremonese 13 4 4 5 -6 16
16 Cosenza 12 2 6 4 +0 12
17 Spezia 12 3 3 6 -3 12
18 Juve Stabia 12 3 2 7 -9 11
19 Livorno 12 3 1 8 -6 10
20 Trapani 12 1 4 7 -9 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
U
3,18
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.