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Serie B

Crotone

S S U U U

3–0

Full-time

Benevento

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,5

This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 61%

48%

74%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

58%

35%

Both score Ø 50%

65%

35%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

7 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 2. · Benevento 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	31	23	7	1	+41	76
2	Crotone	31	15	7	9	+14	52
3	Cittadella	32	15	7	10	+7	52
4	Spezia	31	14	8	9	+10	50
5	Pordenone	31	14	7	10	+2	49
6	Frosinone	31	13	9	9	+6	48
7	Pisa	32	12	10	10	+4	46
8	Chievo	31	11	12	8	+7	45
9	Salernitana	31	12	8	11	+3	44
10	Empoli	31	10	12	9	-2	42
11	Virtus Entella	31	11	8	12	-3	41
12	Perugia	31	11	7	13	-8	40
13	Venezia	31	9	12	10	-4	39
14	Pescara	31	11	6	14	-5	39
15	Juve Stabia	31	10	6	15	-12	36
16	Cremonese	31	8	10	13	-5	34
17	Ascoli	31	9	6	16	-9	33
18	Cosenza	31	7	10	14	-3	31
19	Trapani	31	6	12	13	-18	30
20	Livorno	31	5	6	20	-25	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	16	13	3	0	+29	42
2	Pordenone	16	10	4	2	+13	34
3	Crotone	15	9	4	2	+14	31
4	Salernitana	15	8	6	1	+11	30
5	Frosinone	15	9	3	3	+11	30
6	Spezia	16	9	3	4	+9	30
7	Pisa	17	8	5	4	+6	29
8	Virtus Entella	15	8	4	3	+6	28
9	Chievo	16	8	3	5	+7	27
10	Empoli	16	6	8	2	+7	26
11	Juve Stabia	16	8	2	6	+1	26
12	Ascoli	15	7	4	4	+5	25
13	Perugia	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	Pescara	16	6	6	4	+7	24
15	Cittadella	16	6	4	6	-1	22
16	Cremonese	15	5	4	6	+1	19
17	Trapani	15	4	6	5	+1	18
18	Cosenza	15	3	5	7	-4	14
19	Venezia	15	3	5	7	-7	14
20	Livorno	15	3	2	10	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	15	10	4	1	+12	34
2	Cittadella	16	9	3	4	+8	30
3	Venezia	16	6	7	3	+3	25
4	Crotone	16	6	3	7	+0	21
5	Spezia	15	5	5	5	+1	20
6	Chievo	15	3	9	3	+0	18
7	Frosinone	16	4	6	6	-5	18
8	Cosenza	16	4	5	7	+1	17
9	Pisa	15	4	5	6	-2	17
10	Empoli	15	4	4	7	-9	16
11	Cremonese	16	3	6	7	-6	15
12	Perugia	15	4	3	8	-10	15
13	Pordenone	15	4	3	8	-11	15
14	Pescara	15	5	0	10	-12	15
15	Salernitana	16	4	2	10	-8	14
16	Virtus Entella	16	3	4	9	-9	13
17	Trapani	16	2	6	8	-19	12
18	Livorno	16	2	4	10	-10	10
19	Juve Stabia	15	2	4	9	-13	10
20	Ascoli	16	2	2	12	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.