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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Orsato

Crotone

T U T T T

2–0

Full-time

Benevento

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Benevento

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 27%

33%

20%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,7

0,2

Conceded

2,0

2,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-2,6

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 20%

20%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

0,2

Conceded

2,2

2,8

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-2,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 19. · Benevento 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Inter	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Roma	5	4	0	1	+8	12
5	Milan	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Sampdoria	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Torino	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Lazio	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Fiorentina	5	2	0	3	+1	6
11	Cagliari	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Chievo	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Bologna	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Spal	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	Udinese	6	1	0	5	-5	3
17	Genoa	5	0	2	3	-4	2
18	Verona	5	0	2	3	-10	2
19	Crotone	5	0	1	4	-10	1
20	Benevento	5	0	0	5	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Roma	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Torino	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Spal	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Bologna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Verona	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Torino	4	2	1	1	-2	7
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sampdoria	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Chievo	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Milan	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Spal	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.