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Serie A

Referee: Eugenio Abbattista

Spal

U S T

0–2

Full-time

Cagliari

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 10. · Cagliari 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Torino	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Roma	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Sampdoria	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Milan	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Spal	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Bologna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Chievo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Genoa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sassuolo	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Verona	4	0	1	3	-10	1
20	Benevento	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Torino	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Roma	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Benevento	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Verona	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Roma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Chievo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Verona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cagliari	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.